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17:30 • Sat Nov 1, 2025 — Stadium: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Draw and Both Teams to Score
Odds: 3/1 (was 5/2)
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Liverpool vs Aston Villa
20:00 • Sat Nov 1, 2025
Tip: Liverpool -0.75 (AH) • Odds: 10/11 • Stake Band: 5u
Rationale: Reaction spot at Anfield after four defeats. Salah/Gakpo drive 15.6 shots per match; Villa’s 0.75 away gpg and xG under-performance hint regression. Liverpool’s 2.1 home xG and pressing metrics point to 2–0/3–1 likelihood.
This pick belongs to Medium Stakes — +53u this month, +177u YTD.
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Arsenal, Fulham & Man Utd All To Win
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Liverpool vs Aston Villa: Mohamed Salah, Cody Gakpo & Morgan Rogers over 0.5 shots on target each
7/2
(was 5/2)
Bet365
Liverpool vs Aston Villa: Both Teams to Score, Cody Gakpo: 1+ Shots on Target, John McGinn: 1+ Shots on Target, Morgan Rogers: 1+ Shots on Target, Mohamed Salah: 1+ Shots on Target
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(was 14/1)
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Both Teams to Score — Yes
Goals Market
Why this pick
Liverpool’s attack at Anfield remains fierce, but their high line has invited chances in every recent game. Villa arrive in scoring form under Emery, breaking quickly through Watkins, Rogers and McGinn. With both sides committed to front-foot football, clean sheets look unlikely and a trade of goals fits the tactical picture.
Cody Gakpo — 1+ Shots on Target
Player Shots on Target
Why this pick
Gakpo’s movement into the half-spaces pairs well with Villa’s advanced full-backs. Liverpool’s wide service and cut-backs leave the Dutchman shooting from central areas, and his recent output has consistently forced saves rather than blocks. One effort on target is a fair expectation in a game that should produce volume.
John McGinn — 1+ Shots on Target
Player Shots on Target
Why this pick
Operating higher under Emery, McGinn times late arrivals into space Liverpool often leave when full-backs push. His willingness to strike from range and attack second phases makes at least one shot on target a strong angle, especially with Villa’s transitions targeting gaps between defence and midfield.
Morgan Rogers — 1+ Shots on Target
Player Shots on Target
Why this pick
Rogers brings direct dribbling and quick releases, precisely the profile that troubles Liverpool’s right side. Given license to attack his full-back and shoot when lanes open, the winger’s recent form suggests he will work the goalkeeper at least once.
Mohamed Salah — 1+ Shots on Target
Player Shots on Target
Why this pick
Salah remains Liverpool’s primary end-product. His inside runs against a high line routinely generate high-value looks, and his record at Anfield is relentless. Expect at least one purposeful effort to test Martínez from open play or set pieces.
Builder Rationale
Open game script: both teams to score, plus on-target efforts from Gakpo and Salah for Liverpool and McGinn and Rogers for Villa. Liverpool’s defensive risks and Villa’s sharp transitions provide multiple routes for shots and goals.
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